Not a lot of changes in this weeks projections.. but there are a few….
Class 3
- Cassville- Can afford to lose once and maybe twice and still get this spot
- Reeds Spring- Wolves have the win over Mt Vernon in hand and will be able to jump them if they finish 2-3
- Mt Vernon- Win or lose against Catholic and Hollister. Mt Vernon is likely to finish second but will drop to third because of the Reeds Spring loss.
- Hollister- this is going to be tight.. pretty sure Hollister and Seneca play in the first round, its just a matter of where.. If I have the numbers right. If Hollister beats Rogersville and falls short against Mt Vernon. They will finish slightly ahead of Seneca, even if the Indians beat both East Newton and McDonald County even with the bonus the Indians get for playing the Mustangs. This will be really tight though, the Tigers would do well to get the max points vs Rog and AT LEAST keep it close vs Mt Vernon. (a victory over Mt Vernon would lock it down for sure)
- Seneca- see above
- Aurora- only an upset of Marshfield or Reeds Spring gets them out of this spot and only if Seneca also loses one of their last two. No way they can finish ahead of Hollister
- Nevada- locked in here
- Clinton- fate is decided as well.
Class 5
- Carthage- This one is a no brainer
- Parkview- The numbers are decently close with those behind, looking at the schedule only Branson has a realistic shot to catch them.
- Nixa- I know they sit last right now, and will likely lose both games they have left.. But they are only .9 out of 3rd. and most importantly they play Joplin this week… That means bonus points and will be enough to move them up into the 3 spot if everything else remains equal. If Branson finishes 3rd and Nixa 4th they will switch places
- Branson- even if the Pirates finish behind Republic in points, as long as they are directly behind them, they will jump them. Beating CJ or Willard is a real possibility and could make a big difference beating both will give them an outside shot at the #2. That is how close this is.
- Republic- The bottom three teams are as tight as can be. Math says the Tigers finish here.. but an upset could make a big difference
Class 2
- Ava- They win their last two, which they should, they get the 1
- Fair Grove- will go undefeated in regular season but will get the 2
- Strafford- already looking forward to the possible rematch with the Eagles
- Houston- as long as they beat Liberty they finish here
- Liberty- as I said before.. will play Houston two weeks in a row, just where the second game will take place
- Mountain Grove- Got a nice win this week but likely still gonna finish here
- Willow Springs – locked into this spot
- Forsyth- fell short in their shot at a win this past week… but they will build a program
